Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.004653 0.004900 0.005154 0.005435 0.005739 0.006057 0.006417
2025-11-30 0.004176 0.004530 0.004911 0.005352 0.005852 0.006402 0.007059
2025-12-07 0.003874 0.004286 0.004741 0.005284 0.005921 0.006648 0.007550
2025-12-14 0.003676 0.004131 0.004645 0.005275 0.006033 0.006926 0.008071
2025-12-21 0.003429 0.003899 0.004439 0.005114 0.005944 0.006944 0.008264
2025-12-28 0.003310 0.003807 0.004389 0.005129 0.006059 0.007208 0.008767
2026-01-04 0.003228 0.003753 0.004377 0.005186 0.006223 0.007535 0.009365
2026-01-11 0.003111 0.003649 0.004297 0.005149 0.006262 0.007698 0.009751
2026-01-18 0.003018 0.003570 0.004242 0.005139 0.006331 0.007899 0.010195
2026-01-25 0.002919 0.003478 0.004167 0.005097 0.006352 0.008033 0.010548
2026-02-01 0.002888 0.003470 0.004196 0.005192 0.006558 0.008428 0.011300
2026-02-08 0.002806 0.003393 0.004133 0.005159 0.006587 0.008574 0.011690
2026-02-15 0.002739 0.003334 0.004091 0.005154 0.006654 0.008779 0.012189
2026-02-22 0.002647 0.003240 0.004000 0.005077 0.006617 0.008830 0.012448
2026-03-01 0.002567 0.003157 0.003922 0.005015 0.006595 0.008900 0.012740
2026-03-08 0.002511 0.003107 0.003884 0.005006 0.006650 0.009086 0.013231
2026-03-15 0.002408 0.002988 0.003750 0.004857 0.006490 0.008934 0.013146
2026-03-22 0.002368 0.002955 0.003731 0.004870 0.006573 0.009162 0.013720
2026-03-29 0.002344 0.002942 0.003740 0.004923 0.006716 0.009490 0.014492
2026-04-05 0.002292 0.002889 0.003690 0.004889 0.006725 0.009602 0.014885
2026-04-12 0.002251 0.002849 0.003659 0.004880 0.006770 0.009774 0.015401
2026-04-19 0.002202 0.002798 0.003609 0.004841 0.006766 0.009864 0.015767
2026-04-26 0.002195 0.002805 0.003642 0.004929 0.006967 0.010308 0.016845